GraphCast beat the leading forecast system on 90% of targets

According to the GraphCast paper, the machine-learning model “significantly outperforms the most accurate operational deterministic systems on 90% of 1380 verification targets.” The benchmark it beat was HRES, the High Resolution Forecast from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, and GraphCast produced its 10-day forecasts in under a minute.

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Last verified June 6, 2026